Antimony might not grab headlines like lithium or copper, but its time in the spotlight seems overdue. A recent Chinese export ban is poised to push antimony prices beyond even the lofty peaks seen in late 2024, sending shockwaves through industries that rely heavily on this metal. While we can’t confirm if the surge in some antimony-focused stocks stems entirely from this new dynamic, the timing appears more than coincidental.
Source: Pixabay, Picture Description: Antimony semimetal, chemical experiments with antimony in the laboratory.
Antimony is a metalloid crucial for flame retardants, solar panels, ammunition primers, and lead-acid batteries. China, which has historically supplied nearly half of the world’s antimony, has now tightened its export curbs, mirroring its restrictions on gallium, germanium, and other critical minerals.
Such moves come at a time when environmental regulations in top producing regions have slowed output and when demand is climbing fast for renewable energy applications (like solar technologies) and defense needs (over 200 types of U.S. Department of Defense ammunition contain antimony). The upshot? A supply squeeze — especially outside China — and soaring prices.
Industry sources suggest antimony traded as high as US$40,000/ton in December 2024, up nearly 250% from earlier that year. Some traders expect US$50,000/ton or even higher in 2025, driven by demand from both the defense and green-energy sectors.
Antimony Price Chart | Source: Carbon Credits & S&P Global
Antimony’s unique properties make it integral to multiple sectors. Its ability to harden lead, retard flames, and enhance semiconductor performance underpins many critical applications:
Defense: Used in armor-piercing ammunition and bullets (antimony hardens lead for higher penetration), in explosives and ammunition primers, and in military electronics such as night vision goggles and infrared lenses. Antimony trisulfide is a key ingredient in propellants and tracer rounds, making it essential for munitions. These defense uses have become increasingly important as global military activity rises, highlighting antimony as a strategic material for national security.
Energy Storage (Batteries): A vital component in lead-acid batteries, antimony is alloyed with lead to improve battery durability and performance. Nearly all car batteries and many industrial batteries historically used antimony-lead alloys, though some modern designs use calcium as an alternative. Antimony is also at the heart of emerging battery tech: liquid metal batteries for grid storage use molten antimony as one electrode, leveraging its high energy density and stability. As the world builds more renewable energy capacity (which needs storage for when sun or wind are down), antimony-bearing batteries are poised to play a greater role.
Electronics & Semiconductors: Important for semiconductor manufacturing and electronic components. Antimony is used as a dopant in silicon wafers and in compound semiconductors (e.g. indium antimonide and gallium antimonide) for infrared sensors and diodes. It’s also present in solder and alloys for electronics. Furthermore, antimony’s flame-retardant properties protect electronic devices – many plastic casings, circuit boards, and cable coatings include antimony trioxide to meet fire safety standards. In short, antimony helps ensure electronics are both high-performing and fire-safe.
Industrial Materials (Flame Retardants, Glass, Alloys): Antimony trioxide is widely used as a flame retardant additive in plastics, textiles, and rubber, making materials safer in applications from children’s clothing to aircraft interiors. It is also a glass clarifier – small amounts of antimony improve the clarity of optical glass and screens by removing bubbles. In metallurgy, antimony is alloyed with lead and other metals to increase hardness and strength (used in products like bearings, solders, and old typeface printing metals). These industrial uses, while traditional, represent a significant portion of antimony demand and underline its role in everyday products and infrastructure.
China’s decision to restrict antimony exports—alongside gallium and germanium—has added pressure on already fragile supply chains.
With no immediate replacement for Chinese supply, the West is now forced to turn to alternative producers—creating massive investment opportunities for companies developing antimony projects.
Antimony demand is projected to increase from $2.5 billion in 2024 to $3.5 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.2%, according to Research and Markets. In the U.S. alone, the antimony market is expected to reach $106.57 million by 2032, driven primarily by OSHA-regulated flame-retardant clothing and expanding use in lead-acid batteries, electronics, and plastics.
According to Fortune Business Insights, Asia-Pacific dominates the global antimony market, accounting for 64.36% of global demand in 2023. The region’s booming automotive and electronics industries are fueling the need for antimony-based flame retardants and alloys.
North America and Europe, which together account for over 40% of global antimony demand, remain highly dependent on imports from China and India. The growing need for lead-acid batteries, flame retardants, and semiconductors is expected to drive further demand, increasing pressure on global supply chains.
Source: Research and Markets
Unlike gold or copper, antimony doesn’t enjoy a robust futures market or popular exchange-traded fund (ETF). So, investors looking to ride the wave generally turn to mining equities. With China tightening its grip on exports, several companies are working to develop antimony projects across Australia, North America, and Europe.
Antimony’s price surge has rocked global supply chains, leading to both immediate disruptions and long-term strategy shifts. Manufacturers reliant on antimony face skyrocketing costs and difficulty securing material. Sectors like flame retardants, batteries, and defense munitions are particularly affected, raising concerns about production slowdowns and national security.
In response, many buyers are diversifying suppliers beyond China, tapping regions like Tajikistan, Vietnam, and Myanmar. Some companies are even altering processes to produce different antimony compounds or adopting substitutes where feasible. Meanwhile, high prices are driving new investments in antimony mining and refining, including government-backed efforts in the U.S. and projects in Canada and Australia. Though these ventures promise eventual relief, they face long permitting times and won’t solve near-term shortages.
Industries are also testing alternatives—such as lead-calcium alloys in place of lead-antimony batteries or different flame retardant chemistries—to reduce reliance on the metal. Over the long run, experts predict sustained tightness and volatility, prompting manufacturers and governments to forge strategic partnerships and stockpile resources. Whether it’s in defense, energy storage, or everyday products, antimony’s critical role ensures that price and supply challenges will remain front and center for years to come.
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